Hurricane Tracks
What is apparent is that early season hurricanes are usually in the Gulf.
The passage from Bermuda south to the Islands has a low probability of a hurricane or tropical storm in May or June.  With good trade winds the trip time between Bermuda and St. Thomas in June should be only a week for a small yacht. Hurricanes are usually spotted  a week ahead. A small yacht can be 300 miles away in three days.

You can get these charts for every year. Here is what happened to yachts in Grenada as hurricane Ivan went through in 2004. Boats at anchor did well, those hauled out were devastated.

Clarke's Court  report

Only one of the 15 boats anchored in the Clarke's Court cut sank, and none were grounded. Of the 40 or so boats in Clarke's Court Bay Marina, about half remained afloat. Some boats apparently went adrift tied to a section of floating dock.

Hog Island

Of the 32 boats in Hog Island, two went aground (one was quickly pulled off) and one - a trimaran - "flew", dismasted some boats and capsized.

St. George's Lagoon

Of the over 40 boats in the Lagoon, the Shaws say, about half ended up aground and a few sank. The concrete docks at the Yacht Club are reportedly intact. One eye-witness (no pun intended) reported that as the hurricane passed over the Lagoon, he saw at least three mini-tornadoes inflicting especially savage damage to the area.

Another writes: "The weather was fair with some rain and mild to moderate gusts until about 1400, then Ivan arrived with a fury I hope never to see again. As the wind intensified the boats would swing in 180-degree arcs, and several began dragging anchor. Two people were seen  fending off each others' boats and trying to reset their anchors as the full brunt of the storm hit. The front-side wind came directly down the lagoon, and visibility was reduced to 50 feet at most. All that could be  seen were part of houses and roofs flying by. As the eye passed over, visibility improved and we could see that very few boats were left at anchor. All were piled, up to four deep, on shore. As the eye passed, the wind veered 180 degrees and blew out of the lagoon, again obliterating all visibility. This lasted until about 1830 and in the dusk, only carnage could be seen."



For engineers - large monitor neededAntenna.html